Bills vs Jaguars Wild Card Odds: Ground Game Showdown in Jacksonville
The AFC Wild Card spotlight shines on Jacksonville as the No. 6 Buffalo Bills (12-5) visit the No. 3 Jaguars (13-4) on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. With Buffalo listed as a slim -1 favorite and a high over/under of 52, this matchup centers on one fascinating clash: the NFL’s top-ranked rushing offense versus the league’s best run defense.
Game Odds & Favorite:
- Spread: Bills -1
- Total: O/U 52
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
- Favorite: Buffalo Bills (by a point)
Matchup Breakdown:
Buffalo rides the league’s most productive ground attack (159.6 rush YPG), led by rushing champion James Cook (1,621 yards). But Jacksonville counters with a historic run-stopping unit, allowing just 85.6 rushing yards per game and not surrendering a 75-yard rusher all season.
On the other side, Trevor Lawrence anchors the Jaguars’ offense, averaging 235.7 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per game, giving Jacksonville balance if they can force Buffalo away from its comfort zone.
Pick & Prediction:
This game likely hinges on whether Buffalo can crack Jacksonville’s elite run defense. Expect a tight, high-scoring contest, but Buffalo’s slight edge and balanced attack tip the scales.
Final Thought:
Pick: Bills to win and cover (-1). If Buffalo finds enough success on the ground, they should survive a classic strength-on-strength battle and advance.